The coming tech-lash

The tech elite will join bankers and oilmen in public demonology, predicts Adrian Wooldridge.

Everyone should be forgiven a certain amount of self-indulgence on their wedding day. But Sean Parker’s multi-million-dollar wedding last June in a forest in California’s Big Sur stretched the bounds of forgiveness. The 364 guests were dressed in Tolkien-inspired costumes (designed and fitted by the woman who created the costumes for “The Lord of the Rings”). Sting sang one of the the couple’s favourite songs. Mr Parker, who founded Napster and was Facebook’s first president, gave every guest a leather-bound volume relating the “fairy tale” of the couple’s romance.

The Hello meets “The Hobbit” extravaganza may well mark a turning point in the history of the tech revolution. Hitherto the tech elite have been exempted from the backlash against the plutocracy. Occupy Wall Street’s protesters made an exception when it came to the people who provided them with their iPhones and iPads. But one of the big developments of 2014 will be the growing peasants’ revolt against the sovereigns of cyberspace. The Silicon elite will cease to be regarded as geeks who happen to be filthy rich and become filthy rich people who happen to be geeks.

So far they have succeeded in protecting themselves from the tax authorities and shareholders alike. Mark Zuckerberg owns 29.3% of Facebook. Larry Ellison owns 24% of Oracle. By contrast the largest single investor in Exxon Mobil controls only 0.04% of the stock.

Geeks have turned out to be some of the most ruthless capitalists around. A few years ago the new economy was a wide-open frontier. Today it is dominated by a handful of tightly held oligopolies. Google and Apple provide over 90% of the operating systems for smartphones. Facebook counts more than half of North Americans and Europeans as its customers. The lords of cyberspace have done everything possible to reduce their earthly costs. They employ remarkably few people: with a market cap of $290 billion Google is about six times bigger than GM but employs only around a fifth as many workers. At the same time the tech tycoons have displayed a banker-like enthusiasm for hoovering up public subsidies and then avoiding taxes. The American government laid the foundations of the tech revolution by investing heavily in the creation of everything from the internet to digital personal assistants. But tech giants have structured their businesses so that they give as little back as possible.

They are increasingly renouncing their Spartan past and instead making a splash with their money. Extravagant parties are multiplying: one tech-bash featured a 600lb tiger in a cage and a monkey that posed for Instagram photographs. Google maintains a small fleet of private planes and helicopters at a local airport. The oligarchs sit on top of a huge money culture: Silicon Valley is not only minting billionaires and millionaires but also thousands of young people who pull in more than $100,000 a year. The oligarchs are also spending money on sci-fi flavoured projects, including private rockets to send billionaires into orbit and medical ventures to delay or even reverse ageing.

Top techies are upping their profile in politics. This is partly by design: they are employing an army of Washington lobbyists to advance their interests. Tech figures have even started to buy media outlets such as the Washington Post (Jeff Bezos) and the New Republic (Chris Hughes). Notoriety has also come by accident: America’s giants, including Google, Microsoft, Yahoo and Facebook, have happily handed over data to the National Security Agency and are now reaping what they have sown.

Another tech bubble goes pop

Growing political involvement will inevitably make these plutocrats powerful enemies. Right-wingers are furious with their stand on immigration. Others are furious with them for getting into bed with the national-security state. Everyone with any nous is beginning to finger them as hypocrites: happy to endorse “progressive politics” such as tighter labour and environmental regulations (and to impose the consequences of that acceptance on small business) just so long as they can export the few manufacturing jobs that they create to China.

“We live in a bubble,” says Eric Schmidt, the chairman of Google (and a member of The Economist Group’s board of directors), “and I don’t mean a tech bubble or a valuation bubble. I mean a bubble as in our own little world.” This little world has been protected from popular anger about inequality. The popping of the bubble will be one of the biggest changes in the political economy of capitalism in the coming year.
 
 
The Economist Newspaper Limited 2013

揮霍金錢 科技新貴成全民公敵

Mark Zuckerberg

結婚那天,每個人都該有放縱一下的權利。但 Napster 創立者、Facebook 首任總裁帕克(Sean Parker)今年 6 月那場在加州森林中舉行、耗資數百萬美元的婚禮,實在太過頭了;364 位賓客全都穿著靈感來自托爾金的服裝(由《魔戒》的服裝設計者負責設計和定裝),連史汀(Sting)都到場獻唱。帕克還給了每位賓客一本皮革精裝書,裡頭寫著這對新婚夫妻的浪漫「童話故事」。

這場狂妄婚禮或許標誌著科技革命的轉折點。先前,民眾對富豪階級的不滿並未波及科技精英。但 2014 年的重大發展之一,就是虛擬世界的領主將面臨越來越多農民起義。矽谷精英不再是湊巧變得超級富有的電腦怪咖,而是湊巧是電腦怪咖的超級富豪。

目前他們一直成功地擋開了稅務機構和股東。祖克伯(Mark Zuckerberg)擁有 29.3% 的 Facebook 股份,艾利森(Larry Ellison)擁有 24% 的甲骨文股份;反之,埃森美孚最大的投資人,僅掌有 0.04% 的股份。

怪咖成了部分最無情的資本主義者。幾年前,網路新經濟是個全新領域,今日則是由少數寡佔企業把持;智慧型手機超過 9 成的作業系統出自蘋果和谷歌,北美和歐洲有超過一半人口都算是 Facebook 的客戶。這些虛擬世界的領主,也盡一切可能減少它們在真實世界的成本。它們雇用的員工非常少:谷歌市值達 2900 億美元,約為通用汽車的 6 倍,但員工人數卻只有後者的五分之一左右。在此同時,科技大亨在尋求補助和避稅上,也展現了有如銀行家的熱衷。美國政府大舉投資,為科技革命奠定了基礎,但科技企業卻以各種方式架構業務,儘可能減少對美國政府的回報。

它們日益拋棄過往的嚴格紀律,開始大肆揮灑金錢。誇張派對不斷增加;谷歌在當地機場擁有小型私人飛機和直升機隊。寡頭大亨坐上金錢文化的頂端:矽谷不但創造了億萬和百萬富翁,也創造了數千位年收入超過 10 萬美元的年輕人。

科技大亨亦提升了他們的政治地位。部分出於刻意:它們雇用大量華府說客好強化自身利益。科技界重要人物甚至開始收購媒體,例如《華盛頓郵報》、《新共和》等。有時則是意外:谷歌、微軟、微軟、臉書等美國巨人,曾開心地將資料交給國安局,現在也都在收割它們播下的種子。

政治涉入程度增加,勢必會讓這些富豪成為強大的敵人。右派不滿它們在移民議題上的立場,其他人則不滿他們與國安機構共枕。每個有些常識的人,都開始認定他們是偽君子:只要他們創造的少量製造業工作還能出口至中國,他們就十分樂於支持強化勞工和環境規範(並將其後果強加於小企業之上)。

谷歌董事長(以及經濟學人集團的董事)施密特表示,「我們活在泡沫之中,而且我說的不是科技泡沫或價值泡沫。我說的是,我們這個小小世界就是個泡沫。」過去,民眾對不平等的憤怒並未波及這個小世界。接下來一年,此泡沫破裂將是資本主義政治經濟最大的變動之一。(黃維德譯)

歷史上的今天

About mtlin

I'm easygoing and sometimes sentimental, also can be very funny. Geek style but social. A Blogger, a Wikipedian and an Engineer.
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